(Bloomberg) -- Ex-judge Sergio Moro is consolidating his position as an alternative to the right-left polarization that’s so far expected to grip Brazil’s presidential election next year -- if he can make it to the runoff. 

The man who became famous for jailing Brazil’s political and business elite during the so-called Carwash graft probe saw his poll numbers rise substantially in the first major survey of voting intention published after he joined a political party and informally threw his hat into the ring.

Moro would receive as much as 17% of votes in several different first-round scenarios pitting him against ex-President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and incumbent Jair Bolsonaro, who get as much as 43% and 33%, respectively. None of the other candidates reach more than 7.5% of voting intention in any of these cases.  

Read More: Ex-Judge Seeks to Bridge Brazil’s Right-Left Rift in 2022 Vote

The survey, carried out by digital bank Modalmais in partnership with Futura Inteligencia through 2,000 phone interviews, shows Lula winning all simulations of a second-round vote. Moro would beat Bolsonaro, however, in a runoff scenario without the former president.

The survey was carried out between Nov. 16-20, with a 2.2% margin of error.


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